The real reason for America's foreign-oil
dependence.
Pete Du Pont
June 21, 2006
In his State of the Union Address, President Bush said that "America is
addicted to oil." But it would be more accurate to say that America is
addicted to opportunity, and oil and its products help us seize it.
American oil consumption is indeed rising, from more than 15 million
barrels a day in the early 1980s to more than 20 million today. It is
likely to continue to increase--another 33% over the next 25 years,
according to the U.S. Department of Energy--because crude oil is a
useful substance. Some 40% of our oil consumption is for cars and light
trucks; 32% for buses, railroads, ships, trucks and agricultural
machinery; and another 17% goes into petrochemicals to produce products
from plastic to paint. These uses represent opportunities, not
addictions.
The problem is that America's domestic petroleum production has
significantly declined, from 10 million barrels a day in 1970 to about
5 million today. Our response has been increasing importation of oil,
now more than 12 million barrels a day.
So expanding America's energy production is the obvious priority.
Common sense would suggest that we should begin tapping into the
estimated 102 billion barrels of oil sitting under America's Outer
Continental Shelf and in Alaska. That domestic supply could replace
America's importation of foreign oil for some 25 years.
But our country's political establishment, from Congress to the press
and the presidency, has worked for a quarter century to prevent
increases in our energy supply.
In 1980 President Carter imposed a "windfall profits" tax on oil
companies, which raised $40 billion rather than the $227 billion
promised. Rather than easing energy shortages, the tax reduced domestic
oil production by between 3% and 6% and gave imported oil from foreign
countries a competitive advantage that increased imports of foreign oil
by about 10%.
In 1990 the first President Bush issued a presidential directive
forbidding access to about 85% of Outer Continental Shelf oil and
natural gas reserves. In 1998 President Clinton extended the moratorium
through 2012.
In 1995 Mr. Clinton vetoed a budget bill that would have allowed oil
exploration and drilling in part of the Alaska Arctic National Wildlife
Reserve. Prudhoe Bay fields, just to the west of ANWR, have delivered
15 billion barrels of oil through the Alaska pipeline to the U.S.
market without damage to Alaskan land, caribou or other wildlife. ANWR
contains 10 billion barrels of oil, so Mr. Clinton's veto today is
costing America about a million barrels of oil each day. Yet Congress
has repeatedly defeated efforts to open ANWR to exploration.
As the Heritage Foundation points out, the U.S. "is the only nation in
the world that has placed a significant amount of its potential
domestic energy supplies off-limits."
Congress has also limited the capacity to refine our oil. After
Hurricane Katrina, a bill to streamline the refinery permitting
process--we have not built a new one since 1976--and encourage the
building of refineries on closed military bases was blocked in the
Senate Environment and Public Works Committee when every Democratic
senator, along with Jim Jeffords (I., Vt) and Lincoln Chaffee (R.,
R.I.) voted "no."
We could reduce our importation of, and "addiction" to, foreign oil in
various ways.
Nuclear power is one. We have 104 nuclear power plants in operation in
America that provide clean energy and decrease by 700 million tons the
CO2 released into our atmosphere each year. But we have stopped
building nuclear power plants: Construction of the last one began three
decades ago. President Bush has proposed the Nuclear Power 2010
Initiative to facilitate plant construction. Sixteen companies have
expressed interest, and 25 new nuclear plants are under consideration.
Offshore drilling for natural gas is another way. There are some 420
trillion cubic feet of natural gas on the Outer Continental Shelf. We
currently consume about 23 trillion cubic feet per year, so that
amounts to a 19-year supply. But the House last month voted 217-203 to
block the opening of some Outer Continental Shelf areas to natural gas
exploration and drilling.
Then there is ethanol, the heavily subsidized energy produced from
crops like corn, soybeans and sunflowers. Ethanol producers receive a
51-cent-a-gallon federal subsidy, which cost the government $1.4
billion last year, and are protected from international ethanol imports
by a 2.5% tariff and an import duty of 54 cents a gallon.
But it is not clear that ethanol is a good economic or energy bargain.
Producing it requires diesel fuel for tractors to plant and harvest the
corn and fertilizers, and pesticides to allow it to grow, so it takes
about seven barrels of oil to produce eight barrels of corn-based
ethanol. But then more truck or rail fuel is required to deliver it,
since there are no pipelines from corn country to urban areas, making
shipping ethanol about double the cost of shipping gasoline. In the end
ethanol may be a more expensive fuel. Sen. Charles Schumer (D., N.Y.)
says there is no policy reason for ethanol: "If the ethanol producers
and the corn growers weren't benefiting from this, we wouldn't be doing
it."
Cleaner coal technology--we have 200 years worth of coal--is being
pursued, as are other energy sources such as wind and solar power that
may ultimately be some help in meeting our energy needs.
So what does the political establishment think of all these energy
alternatives? Except for ethanol, wind and solar power, not much.
Sen. Hillary Clinton's energy speech to the National Press Club last
month perfectly (and politically correctly) makes the establishment's
point. Yes, she is for wind power, solar power and increasing the
amount of oil stored in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, all good
things. But she is also:
• For a windfall profits tax on oil (though she doesn't call it that),
which would, as in 1980, reduce domestic oil production; and for higher
taxes on oil companies so government, rather than the market economy,
can regulate energy production.
• Against the construction of additional nuclear power
plants--America's cleanest source of energy--because of her "real
concerns" about the "quality of the oversight provided by the Nuclear
Regulatory Commission." That translates into not enough governmental
control over an industry that is too hot to touch politically.
• Against ANWR drilling (she has voted against it half a dozen times),
and against additional offshore drilling.
• For greatly expanded--and greatly subsidized--ethanol production.
Her overall goal is "reducing our dependence on foreign oil by at least
50% by 2025." But expanding nuclear power, drilling for the proven
reserves of oil and gas off our coasts, and even eliminating the
ethanol import tariffs and subsidies all are politically incorrect
energy policies that the Washington establishment will not permit.
That's too bad, because they are the correct policies that would help a
great many Americans enjoy greater opportunity. But that's the
political establishment's thinking, which makes government control--not
oil--the addiction that is misdirecting our national energy policy.
Mr. du Pont, a former governor of Delaware, is chairman of the
Dallas-based National Center for Policy Analysis.
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